Phillies vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks – August 4

Phillies vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks – August 4

Updated Aug. 4, 2025, 6:00 p.m. ET

Jackson Holliday and the Baltimore Orioles are set to take the field on Monday at Citizens Bank Park against Jesus Luzardo, who will start for the Philadelphia Phillies. The game is scheduled to begin at 6:45 p.m. ET. In this matchup, the Phillies are favored at -205 on the moneyline against the Orioles, who sit at +169. Philadelphia is also a 1.5-run favorite, with odds at -101. The total runs for the game are set at 9.

Here’s everything you need to know from a betting perspective regarding the Phillies-Orioles game, including run line, moneyline, and total, along with expert picks. Keep yourself updated with MLB on FOX Sports.

Phillies vs. Orioles Game Information & Odds

When: Monday, August 4, 2025, at 6:45 p.m. ET

Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

How to watch on TV: NBCS-PH and MASN

Favorite Moneyline: Phillies -205
Underdog Moneyline: Orioles +169
Total: 9
Over Odds: -119
Under Odds: -101
Run Line Favorite: Phillies -1.5
Run Line Odds: -101
Underdog Run Line Odds: -119

Phillies vs. Orioles Prediction

Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Orioles 4

Total Prediction: Over 9 runs

Win Probabilities: Phillies 56%, Orioles 44%

Phillies vs. Orioles Betting Insights

The Phillies have been favored in 89 games this season, winning 55 of those, amounting to a 61.8% success rate. Philadelphia has played 20 games this season in which they were favored by -205 or more, achieving a 16-4 record in those situations. Based on the moneyline, the probability of a Phillies win stands at 67 jiliccc.2%.

The Orioles, on the other hand, have won 25 out of 56 contests as underdogs this year, reflecting a 44.6% success rate. This season, they have claimed victory in two out of four games when the odds were at least +169 or worse on the moneyline. The implicit probability of the Orioles winning, based on the current moneyline, is 37.2%.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

In their last 10 games, the Phillies were the moneyline favorite in nine, finishing with a 4-5 record in those matchups. Across those 10 games, they and their opponents exceeded the total set six times. The Phillies have an ATS (Against The Spread) record of 4-6-0 in their last 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

• Record: 5-5
• Runs Per Game: 5.5
• Home Runs: 19
• ERA: 4. intensity tagalog85
• K/9: 8.2

Phillies Player Insights

Kyle Schwarber leads the team with 38 home runs and 88 RBIs, ranking second in homers and first in RBIs among all MLB hitters. Trea Turner boasts a team-high batting average of .283 but is lower in the home run rankings at 124th and 103rd in RBIs. Bryce Harper is hitting .270 with 25 doubles, 16 home runs, and 50 walks, entering this game on a two-game hitting streak. He’s had a .353 batting average in his last five games. Nick Castellanos also shines, batting .269 with 23 doubles, one triple, and 15 home runs, riding a four-game hitting streak into this game.

Phillies Team Props

• Otto Kemp: Hits O/U 0.5 (-200), Total Bases O/U 1.5 (+135), HR O/U -, RBI O/U 0.5 (+180)
• Kyle Schwarber: Hits O/U 0.5 (-235), Total Bases O/U 1.5 (-120), HR O/U -, RBI O/U 0.5 (+100)
• J.T. Realmuto: Hits O/U 0.5 (-265), Total Bases O/U 1.5 (+105), HR O/U -, RBI O/U 0.5 (+145)
• Harrison Bader: Hits O/U 0.5 (-195), Total Bases O/U 1.5 (+130), HR O/U -, RBI O/U 0.5 (+180)
• Trea Turner: Hits O/U 1 e bike with roof philippines price list.5 (+140), Total Bases O/U 1.5 (-130), HR O/U -, RBI O/U 0.5 (+150)

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

As underdogs in five of their last ten games, the Orioles managed a 3-2 record in these contests. They and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times in those ten games. The Orioles possess a sturdy ATS record at 7-3-0 over their last ten games.

Orioles Recent Stats

• Record: 6-4
• Runs Per Game: 7.3
• Home Runs: 19
• ERA: 3.27
• K/9: 8 bonus365.4

Orioles Player Insights

Gunnar Henderson leads the Orioles with 47 RBIs and a team-high batting average of .285. He ranks 100th in home runs and 93rd in RBIs across all of MLB. Jackson Holliday has contributed with 14 home runs and ranks 89th overall. Adley Rutschman has produced 15 doubles, one triple, eight home runs, and 33 walks with a .233 batting average. Jordan Westburg holds a .272 average with nine doubles, one triple, 12 home runs, and 12 walks.

Orioles Team Props

• Tyler O’Neill: Hits O/U 0.5 (-170), Total Bases O/U 1.5 (+125), HR O/U -, RBI O/U 0.5 (+150)
• Jordan Westburg: Hits O/U 0.5 (-240), Total Bases O/U 1 gayroulette.5 (+115), HR O/U -, RBI O/U 0.5 (+185)
• Gunnar Henderson: Hits O/U 0.5 (-190), Total Bases O/U 1.5 (+140), HR O/U -, RBI O/U 0.5 (+205)
• Adley Rutschman: Hits O/U 0.5 (-220), Total Bases O/U 1.5 (+130), HR O/U -, RBI O/U 0.5 (+190)
• Cade Povich: –

How do you think this matchup will unfold? Will the Phillies maintain their dominance, or can the Orioles pull off an upset?